Synopsis
Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution and How It Can Renew America, published in 2008, is Thomas Friedman’s diagnosis of three major challenges facing the world and the United States in particular. It also includes prescriptions for how the U.S. can remedy these problems.
The three major challenges Friedman sees are summed up in the book’s title. First, he says the world is “flat," by which he means that the economy is increasingly globalized. The Internet and other technologies have allowed many jobs, especially those that pay well, to be performed by workers just about anywhere in the world. This is a problem for the United States because jobs can be outsourced to people who will do them as well as Americans can but for less money.
The second problem is that the world is “crowded.” By this, Friedman means that the world is overpopulated and that, importantly, the global population is increasingly becoming middle-class. As people achieve middle-class status, they demand more and more material goods. The production of these goods uses up ever more resources. "Crowding" is a particular problem for the United States because, Friedman asserts, the consumption of nonrenewable resources tends to enrich oil-rich countries of the Middle East and thereby threaten national security.
The final problem, and the one that Friedman pays the most attention to, is the problem of global warming—the idea that the world is becoming “hot.” This is, of course, an issue for the whole world. However, it is also, Friedman believes, the potential source of salvation for the Unites States.
Friedman posits that green energy will be the next major advancement in global economies. The need for renewable energy technology, and for technologies that will reduce the need for energy, will increase substantially. Therefore, he argues, whichever country dominates the development and production of green technology will become (or remain) the strongest country in the world, economically speaking. Friedman hopes that the United States will develop a national strategy that will allow it to dominate this vital sector of the future economy.
In Hot, Flat, and Crowded, Thomas Friedman identifies major problems facing the world, the greatest of which is global warming. He then argues that the United States can solve its own problems, and help the entire planet, by becoming a world leader in green technology.
Summary
In Hot, Flat, and Crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution—And How It Can Renew America, Thomas Friedman makes two interwoven arguments. His major argument, contained in the title, is global: the world is becoming hot (climate change is real and will be extreme), flat (the economy is globalizing, and access to technology is becoming universal), and crowded (the growing population combines with rising standard of living to multiply demands on resources). The lesser argument focuses on what America needs to do as a result: America is out of sync with the world’s current needs and must change if it does not want to be left behind.
The first section of Hot, Flat, and Crowded focuses on what is wrong with the current situation: what has happened—in particular, what America’s misguided policies have done to it and the world. America’s energy policies can been seen as “petropolitics”: the dependence on foreign oil combined with wasteful transportation policies and industries have contributed to the rise of dictatorships around the world. In many cases, these policies have funded explicitly anti-American attitudes because oil-rich Islamic countries have supported radical Islam, which opposes modern, Western cultures and American in particular.
America’s actions matter not just because they damage...
(This entire section contains 1275 words.)
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our country but also because of America’s role in the world. America serves as a model for industrialization, and so the American embrace of waste and pollution encourages others to follow the same path of growing their economies first and attempting to clean things up later. This is a serious problem because it is too late: the world has already passed the point at which global warming is certain. Climate change is a reality, and neither the United States nor any other country can put off change. The entire world is in the midst of such a serious and universal change that we should restart the numbering system used for our history: rather than BC or AD, we are now living in the ECE: the Energy-Climate Era.
The second half of Hot, Flat, and Crowded focuses on the many specific actions that America and the world can and should take to save itself (and the world). Friedman’s first suggestion is that the current trends of businesses saying they’ve already gone green, or people looking for easy ways to save the earth, are dangerous. The danger is that these actions aren’t enough, and this false sense of ease, combined with the trendiness of such movements, may lead people to think that the ecological crisis has already been addressed. Instead, the world needs a massive and coordinated effort because climate change is global, unprecedented, and (because of the complexity of the system) unpredictable. Friedman suggests it might be better to call what’s coming “global weirding” rather than “global warming” because the results will be so strange. These changes will increase, rather than decreasing or flattening out, because the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is projected to double by the middle of the twenty-first century and to triple by 2075.
There are many things that can and should be done to address this crisis: increase carbon capture in coal-plants, replace existing coal plants and make old ones more efficient, build nuclear plants, increase wind and solar power capacities many times over, and shift cars to hydrogen use. As we do this, we need to use farming practices that conserve land reduce CO2 production, stop cutting and burning forests, reduce the distances driven by the average car, and institute energy conservation practices everywhere.
A crucial step in this is making the energy grid less “dumb.” Friedman points out that the existing energy grid in America grew piecemeal, and it is administered the same way—and in ways that reward waste rather than conservation. The economics of energy must be made functional so that conservation and efficiency are rewarded. Making the grid “intelligent,” so that energy use is continually monitored and shifted according to need, will make this much easier. This “Energy Internet” will allow people to make better choices and even sell power back to the utilities. (This has already been tested on a small scale in Washington state and produced a drop in energy use.)
Government involvement is essential in making this change for several reasons. First, there is no free market in energy at present: current policies reward and protect existing energy. Worse, the current system does not give genuine signals about cost and need, which distorts both individual actions and corporate investment. Second, the world needs an exponential breakthrough and stable policies that reward long-term research and investment in alternatives to give inventors and investors alike time to see developments. Third, consistent government policies for fuel efficiency and pollution must set standards for industry production. This will require a reversal of recent American policies, which have relaxed standards to make things easier for American industry in the short term (and thus rewarded wasteful and inefficient industries).
While global and national action is essential, involving local communities—down to the level of villages and family farms—is equally essential. Right now the most lucrative way for many rural communities in places like Indonesia or Brazil to enter the global economies is by either destroying the remnants of precious ecosystems (such as burning rainforests to clear farmland or cutting trees for lumber) or through poaching rare species. The world needs the biological richness found in these remaining natural systems and so must make it more profitable to maintain the ecosystems intact. Local villagers must be trained as stewards and guides and taught how to do sustainable agriculture.
Making these changes will require the United States to engage in tricky negotiations over its national identity. On one hand, authoritarian governmental directives like those employed in China offer tremendous possibilities for positive reform. China banned free plastic bags on June 1, 2008, pushing 1.3 billion people to find other ways to transport goods home from stores—and conserving countless barrels of petroleum. On the other hand, we need the explosion of innovations that comes from free market exploration of alternatives. To complicate things still further, going green is often associated with the left—but moving toward greater energy efficiency is highly patriotic, and it is one of the things the country can do to save troops' lives. Setting up bases in Iraq is incredibly energy expensive, and transporting the fuel needed to run generators continually leaves American service personnel at risk of attack. Insulating tents and finding better ways to use solar power makes these soldiers far safer. This sort of innovation will also spread over into civilian benefits, both at home and in Iraq.
In the end, democracy will have to adapt to changing climate conditions, which will in turn produce changing economic conditions. A new kind of leadership will be required, one that is loyal to established American values but also brave enough to deal with entrenched interest groups—and bold enough to establish new visions of what is possible. If America can produce this sort of leadership, this crisis may become another opportunity and America may remain a world leader. If America cannot make such changes, it will fade from prominence, becoming an economic backwater or even perishing all together. That's how serious the current crisis is.
A note on historical figures in the work: While Friedman tries to bring his work to life through personal interviews with numerous individuals around the globe, none play a major role in the book as a whole. This is, Friedman argues, a global crisis requiring collective action, and so there are really no individual characters.