Characters
The characters in Hans Rosling's Factfulness are what the author
argues are once-useful instinctual habits of thought that are now
counterproductive because they lead to an "overdramatic worldview" that can be
stressful and counterproductive. He finds these emotional thought patterns
prevalent around the world regardless of levels of experience, expertise,
education, and power.
When reinforced through media and education systems, these typically negative
emotional biases become roadblocks to understanding the world correctly and,
consequently, to acting more rationally.
The first of these is the gap instinct, by which people seem to naturally want
to divide the world into binaries like haves and have-nots. This is reflected
in language such as the "developed" and "underdeveloped" countries. This
language shows that people imagine a huge gap between these two types of
countries. The author's solution is to look at statistical majorities, which
shows that seventy-five percent of the world's population is now
middle-income—vastly better than ever before. The improvement since 1965 has
been dramatic and just as dramatically underreported.
The negative instinct is similarly widespread, with most people thinking the
world is getting worse. Rosling argues that this is mainly due to people
misremembering the past, selective reporting by journalists and activists, and
the feeling that as long as things are bad somewhere, it would be heartless to
focus on the overall improvement. His recommended solution is to simply expect
the media to overemphasize bad news and don't expect them to report on the
bigger, more positive, picture. The fact is the number of people living in
poverty has been halved in the last twenty years. Such a remarkable improvement
of living standards for the world's poorest is unprecedented.
The straight-line instinct is another common misconception. Because the world
population has been rising dramatically, especially among the poor, many people
imagine this trend continuing or even accelerating when, in fact, it has
already leveled off, with rising levels of prosperity leading to fewer
children. Fear is often intentionally triggered by political and media elites
to manipulate the population for their own narrow power objectives. Rosling's
solution is to rationally calculate risks to avoid being subject to this
manipulation.
Rosling applies his statistician's eye to other mental distortions caused by
faulty generalization. He recommends getting categories correct. Common
misconceptions of size can be corrected by getting things in their correct
proportions. The destiny instinct can be overcome by understanding gradual
change is the rule. The single-perspective instinct is corrected by
multidisciplinary analysis. The blame instinct should be resisted, and the
urgency instinct should be moderated by knowing the best changes come in small
graduated steps.
Hans Rosling's "characters," or misguided emotional instincts, are widespread
roadblocks to an accurate assessment of where the world is today, and where it
might be going. Factfulness is highly recommended for leaders and
students that want to remove their emotional blinders, as anyone that wants to
change the world for the better must first see the world as it actually is.
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