I can't get behind any of these. We have oil potential in the U.S. that isn't being utilized, high taxes make higher consumer costs, and we should have stopped buying oil from outside years back.
However, if I had to choose, I'd go with #1, but it's just too unclear a question. Which alternatives? How do we swap our energy infrastructure overnight? Can we really rely on wind and solar power, which are still vastly inefficient compared to oil and coal? There needs to be a definitive solution to our energy problems.
(My opinion: safe nuclear fission using Thorium as a source. A reactor powered by Thorium cannot melt down and it is much safer than other reactants. Plus, we can switch the current coal industry over to mining Thorium, of which we have enough in the U.S. alone to run our energy needs for the next hundred years.)