Can you manage the future?
I am not askig whether if the future is predictable or not. I am asking if there is a disciplinary approach or a methodology whereby the future can be directed in the direction wanted.
Future management planning would come in several phases. First by completing and compiling the numbers and information needed to set up an annual budget. Budgeting leads planning which is a proactive step vs a reactive step.
If the boat captain planned ahead and gone over all the weather reports, channel traffic reports, he could have planned for possible disasters. By budgeting, planning, and setting up a disaster plan you are being proactive. There possibly could have been something in the disaster plan the ship captain could have used to respond to and combat the problem he encounter and avoided complete disaster.
I will speak from the perspective of public education. It is entirely possible now for a classroom teacher to be able to predict student performance on state examinations, AS LONG AS the teacher is well-acquainted with the state curriculum standards frameworks and understands how to teach to the "power standards" that are essential for all students to know and be able to do.
Administrators must likewise be well-acquainted with the process of teaching to the standards and ensure that teachers are trained and kept up to date on the evolution of the frameworks. If schools are managed according to this precept, and if principals accept that their single most important job is leading instruction, then the future of the school can most certainly be directed in the direction desired, which is to improve student achievement.
Thank you for your comment. But mu qeustion is rather more general. Here is an example. The captain of a steamboat on a river steers the boat according to the banks and the shores of the river. This is called 'directing' (command). The captain also makes sure that the boat and its staff are properly functioning and the owner of the boat is making money and this is called 'administering' (control). The captain finally makes sure that and the staff, the guests and the owner are all happy and this is called 'guidance.' Together all three make up what is called the 'management' function.
Now what the captain is doing however is managing 'today' and that on 'as is' basis with respect to the givens of the environment and current conditions.
Now the captain also has the goal of taking the boat and the passangers (guests) safely to a destination.
Now imagine this. Up ahead the river a catastrophe is in the making and the captain knows nothing about and does nothing about it. When the boat will reach that point everyone on the boat will parish and the goal will not be met.
So managing 'today' alone is not sufficient. The captain has to manage what is up ahead in the 'future' so the goal will be met in the end.
How can the captain do this? How can he manage what is cooking up ahead that will spoil all current management attempts? Can any endeavor taken today help form the future in such a way that the goals of a management are met?
Future manament deals with this.