There was a revolution in Egypt to bring Mubarak down from power. By all means, there was a conflict between actors in that revolution. Whose actors that involve in that conflict? And what their intentions?
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The unrest in the Middle East is an ongoing situation for many years. The biggest problem is, as mentioned above, we are never sure which group stands for what. I am always astounded how the unrest in the Middle Eastern countries plays such havoc with our economy here in the states.
I agree with #2. So much of the certainty surrounding this situation derives from the fact that the motivations and intentions of such groups as the military and the Muslim Brotherhood are as yet unknown. This has some potentially very serious ramifications when we consider the way that military groups have seized power for themselves to impose military dictatorships. We have to wait and see what will happen as time goes on.
If we knew the intentions of the actors, we wouldn't have so much uncertainty. This is especially true of the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamists.
I would argue that the main actors are the military, secular proponents of democracy, the Islamists, and perhaps remaining parts of the Mubarak regime.
The main question as to intentions have to do with the military and the Islamists. No one knows how much democracy the military will tolerate, for example. Neither do they know the extent to which a Muslim Brotherhood-dominated government would impose Sharia or how such a government would act towards Israel.
I believe that we just do not have answers to these important questions.
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