Math Group
Question:
I need help with the below homework question on the expected value.
Mark draws one card from a standard deck of 52. He receives $0.35 for a spade, $0.55 for a queen and $0.85 for the queen of spades. How much should he pay for one draw to make the game fair?
Answers:
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Posted by cburr on Thursday March 12, 2009 at 4:26 PM
Best answer as selected by question asker.
First, to find the expected value you will need to multiply the probability of a particular class of card being drawn by the reward for drawing it.
The probability of drawing the Queen of Spades is 1/52. The benefit is $.85 (.85/1). Multiply across top and bottom of the fractions:
numerator: 1 x .85 = .85
denominator: 52 x 1 = 52
So, you get .85/52. If you do the division, the expected value is $.016. I will wait to round until the end.
The probability of drawing a Queen other than the Queen of Spades is 3/52. The benefit is $.55.
num: 3 x .55 = 1.65
den: 52 x 1 = 52
1.65/52 = $.032
The probability of drawing a Spade other than the Queen of Spades is 12/52. The benefit is $.35.
num: 12 x .35 = 4.2
den: 52 x 1 = 52
4.2/52 = $.081
Now add all the expected values together:
.016 + .032 + .081 = .129
Since we are talking about money, we have to round to the nearest cent = $.13
So, to make the game "fair", Mark should pay $.13.

