How important is inductive reasoning when making a selection for a new hire?

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pohnpei397 | College Teacher | (Level 3) Distinguished Educator

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Inductive reasoning should be used with great care when making decisions about whom to hire.  This is because inductive reasoning, from the particular to the general conclusion, can lead to mistakes if one is not careful about what conclusions one draws from a specific example or examples.

For example, let us imagine that you are hiring teachers.  You have had an experience in the past where a teacher with a Ph.D. turned out to be a very bad high school teacher.  You would not want to induce from that experience that all teachers with Ph.Ds. are bad teachers.  If you made such a conclusion, you might well harm your school by passing up on people who could have been very good teachers.

From this, we can see that inductive reasoning can be very dangerous in hiring if one is not very careful.

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